Sport Picks
Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bolivia
Copa Pacena Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero 
Match Events
18'
18'
Nacif N.
39'
39'
46'
46'
Sub
Pena A. In: Velasco J.
Out: Pena A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guabira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Oriente Petrolero come out ahead of Guabira on wins alone.
- 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Oriente Petrolero arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guabira, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%
Oriente Petrolero Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guabira | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero
2:1
Sep 9, 2026 Copa Pacena
Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
1:0
May 15, 2026 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
2:2
Nov 3, 2025 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
4:0
Jul 16, 2025 Copa Pacena
Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guabira Compare
Top Goalscorer Maciel M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Oriente Petrolero Compare
Top Goalscorer Nacif N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guabira 29 / 100
Oriente Petrolero 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guabira Oriente Petrolero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guabira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guabira's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Oriente Petrolero let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Guabira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Guabira VS Oriente Petrolero
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guabira
(Home) 04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1 Oriente Petrolero
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1 Guabira
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1 Guabira
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1 Aurora
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1 Oriente Petrolero
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1 Aurora
05 Sept
Guabira
1 : 1 Real Potosi
23 Aug
Guabira
1 : 1 Blooming
Page 1 of 3
Oriente Petrolero
(Away) 04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1 Oriente Petrolero
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1 The Strongest
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0 Oriente Petrolero
20 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
3 : 1 Blooming
17 Sept
Tomayapo
0 : 2 Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1 Oriente Petrolero
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0 Oriente Petrolero
17 Sept
Tomayapo
0 : 2 Oriente Petrolero
12 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 1 Oriente Petrolero
30 Aug
Blooming
0 : 3 Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Potosi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 3 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Academia del Balompie | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional Potosi | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 3 | Tomayapo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:20 | 10 |
| 4 | Real Oruro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 3 | Guabira | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 4 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 17 |
| 2 | Independiente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 4 | Blooming | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
