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Guabira vs The Strongest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Peredo G.
25' Event
Peredo G.
Assist: Rafinha
32' Event
Anez C.
Assist: Abrego V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guabira
20%
Draws
44%
The Strongest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: The Strongest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • The Strongest have won more games recently than Guabira.
  • The Strongest are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • The Strongest arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guabira, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guabira The Strongest
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 20
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 1.46 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs The Strongest
2:1
Sep 26, 2026 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Guabira
2:1
Aug 15, 2026 Division Profesional
Guabira vs The Strongest
3:1
Nov 26, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs The Strongest
3:3
Nov 19, 2025 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Guabira
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Peredo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

The Strongest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribera R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guabira 26 / 100
The Strongest 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guabira The Strongest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick The Strongest Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Guabira scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

The Strongest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Guabira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guabira VS The Strongest
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guabira

(Home)
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Guabira
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
Page 1 of 6

The Strongest

(Away)
03 Oct
The Strongest
5 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
15 Sept
Academia del Balompie
1 : 2
The Strongest
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 7 4 2 1 21:5 14
2 Always Ready 7 3 1 3 12:19 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 7 4 2 1 15:11 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
3 Guabira 7 3 0 4 9:14 9
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 7 2 1 4 13:15 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 7 5 2 0 16:6 17
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 7 1 0 6 10:19 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)