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Guacuano vs Barretos EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paulista A3 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 2012 game between Guacuano and Barretos EC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guacuano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guacuano
20%
Draws
80%
Barretos EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barretos EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barretos EC come out ahead of Guacuano on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Barretos EC taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guacuano Clean Sheet 20%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guacuano Barretos EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Paulista A3
Guacuano vs Barretos EC
1:0
Mar 18, 2012 Paulista A3
Guacuano vs Barretos EC
3:0
Sep 25, 2011 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Guacuano
2:1
Sep 4, 2011 Paulista A4
Guacuano vs Barretos EC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guacuano 16 / 100
Barretos EC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guacuano Barretos EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barretos EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guacuano found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Barretos EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Barretos EC has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barretos EC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guacuano

(Home)
13 Apr
Independente SP
3 : 0
Guacuano
06 Apr
Guacuano
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
02 Apr
Tupa
2 : 0
Guacuano
29 Mar
Sertaozinho
1 : 0
Guacuano
26 Mar
Guacuano
0 : 4
Noroeste
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Barretos EC

(Away)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 19 11 5 3 32:18 38
2 GE Osasco 19 10 4 5 30:20 34
3 Guacuano 19 8 8 3 33:18 32
4 Capivariano 19 9 4 6 32:36 31
5 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 35:21 30
6 Marilia 19 9 1 9 24:24 28
7 Juventus-SP 19 7 7 5 35:24 28
8 Batatais 19 7 7 5 23:16 28
9 Sao Bento 19 7 7 5 26:23 28
10 Francana 19 7 6 6 28:24 27
11 Taubate 19 8 2 9 24:27 26
12 Barretos EC 19 7 5 7 21:20 26
13 Sertaozinho 19 7 4 8 23:25 25
14 Itapirense 19 7 4 8 20:23 25
15 Independente SP 19 7 3 9 25:23 24
16 Flamengo SP 19 7 1 11 24:35 22
17 Inter de Bebedouro 19 6 4 9 25:37 22
18 XV de Jau 19 5 7 7 17:24 22
19 Osvaldo Cruz 19 4 2 13 16:41 14
20 Taboao da Serra 19 3 5 11 20:34 14
Promotion - Paulista A3 2012 (Second stage)