Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Puebla U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Latorre D.
48'
48'
Mustre E.
50'
50'
Torres D.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Guadalajara Chivas U21 and Puebla U21 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas U21 come out ahead of Puebla U21 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas U21's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Puebla U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | Puebla U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Puebla U21
3:2
Sep 26, 2025 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Latorre D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Corona C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Puebla U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mustre E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torres D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadalajara Chivas U21 68 / 100
Puebla U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Puebla U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Guadalajara Chivas U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Puebla U21 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Guadalajara Chivas U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Guadalajara Chivas U21 VS Puebla U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas U21
(Home) 02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 2 Club Tijuana U21
18 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
Page 1 of 3
Puebla U21
(Away) 26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 1 Puebla U21
18 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Atlante U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2 Puebla U21
29 Aug
Club America U21
2 : 1 Puebla U21
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
2 : 1 Puebla U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2 Puebla U21
29 Aug
Club America U21
2 : 1 Puebla U21
17 Aug
Pachuca U21
0 : 1 Puebla U21
21 Jul
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 1 Puebla U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America U21 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 32:20 | 32 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 26:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Juarez U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Monterrey U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 27:25 | 30 |
| 5 | Pachuca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 30:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Toluca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 32:22 | 29 |
| 7 | Atlas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 21:23 | 29 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Club Leon U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 18:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Necaxa U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 23:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 25:24 | 24 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana U21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 28:23 | 22 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul U21 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Puebla U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 16 | Queretaro U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:27 | 20 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:25 | 20 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC U21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 5:31 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
