Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Puebla U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas U21 play Puebla U21 in the Liga MX U21. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guadalajara Chivas U21 averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Puebla U21 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Guadalajara Chivas U21 won 1, Puebla U21 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.32 for Guadalajara Chivas U21 and 1.52 for Puebla U21. This points to a Guadalajara Chivas U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
15%
Draws
36%
Puebla U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 picked up more points recently compared to Puebla U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.32 vs 1.52 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Puebla U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas U21 Puebla U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Puebla U21
3:2
Sep 26, 2025 Liga MX U21
Puebla U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Latorre D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Corona C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Puebla U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustre E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas U21 47 / 100
Puebla U21 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Puebla U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guadalajara Chivas U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guadalajara Chivas U21 attacking → ← attacking Puebla U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas U21 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Puebla U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Puebla U21 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 39
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.29
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.14

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America U2117120532:2032
2Guadalajara Chivas U2117100726:1932
3Juarez U2117110623:1832
4Monterrey U2117110627:2530
5Pachuca U211790830:1829
6Toluca U211790832:2229
7Atlas U2117100721:2329
8UNAM Pumas U2117110623:2628
9Club Leon U211790818:1627
10Necaxa U2117100723:2526
11Tigres UANL U211780920:1824
12Atletico San Luis U211780925:2424
13Club Tijuana U2117601128:2322
14Cruz Azul U2117701017:2122
15Puebla U2117501217:2220
16Queretaro U211780920:2720
17Santos Laguna U2117501216:2520
18Mazatlan FC U211740135:3113