Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Toluca U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 
Match Events
19'
19'
Ben Rhouma A.
21'
21'
Chavez Lopez A. A.
54'
54'
Calderon L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga MX U21 game between Guadalajara Chivas U21 and Toluca U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Toluca U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
15%
47%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toluca U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Toluca U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Toluca U21's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Guadalajara Chivas U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Toluca U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Toluca U21
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 Liga MX U21
Toluca U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Toluca U21
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ben Rhouma A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Calderon L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Toluca U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Chavez Lopez A. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Navarrete L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadalajara Chivas U21 27 / 100
Toluca U21 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Toluca U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Toluca U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Guadalajara Chivas U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Toluca U21 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.
Guadalajara Chivas U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guadalajara Chivas U21 VS Toluca U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas U21
(Home) 02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
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02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 2 Club Tijuana U21
18 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
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Toluca U21
(Away) 09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2 Toluca U21
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1 Santos Laguna U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
12 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 0 Atlas U21
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09 Oct
Tigres UANL U21
1 : 2 Toluca U21
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
15 Sept
Puebla U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
21 Aug
Queretaro U21
0 : 2 Toluca U21
15 Aug
Atlante U21
0 : 1 Toluca U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 21:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana U21 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Puebla U21 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Club America U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Monterrey U21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Necaxa U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 12 | Atlante U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Cruz Azul U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 16 | Juarez U21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 17 | Tigres UANL U21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)
