Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga MX U21 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Calderon L.
8'
8'
Serralde G.
14'
14'
Salazar J.
AI Match Summary
UNAM Pumas U21 in this Liga MX U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAM Pumas U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- UNAM Pumas U21 haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas U21's recent run of results.
- 68% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas U21 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Guadalajara Chivas U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | UNAM Pumas U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:0
Apr 5, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
3:4
Oct 5, 2025 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Calderon L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Garcia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
UNAM Pumas U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Serralde G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salazar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadalajara Chivas U21 77 / 100
UNAM Pumas U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadalajara Chivas U21 UNAM Pumas U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
UNAM Pumas U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Guadalajara Chivas U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guadalajara Chivas U21 VS UNAM Pumas U21
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas U21
(Home) 02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas U21
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02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4 Queretaro U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 2 Club Tijuana U21
18 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 3 Toluca U21
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UNAM Pumas U21
(Away) 27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2 Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2 Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
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19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2 UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
31 Jul
Juarez U21
1 : 0 UNAM Pumas U21
21 Jul
Toluca U21
2 : 1 UNAM Pumas U21
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America U21 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 32:20 | 32 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 26:19 | 32 |
| 3 | Juarez U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:18 | 32 |
| 4 | Monterrey U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 27:25 | 30 |
| 5 | Pachuca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 30:18 | 29 |
| 6 | Toluca U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 32:22 | 29 |
| 7 | Atlas U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 21:23 | 29 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 17 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 23:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Club Leon U21 | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 18:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Necaxa U21 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 23:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 12 | Atletico San Luis U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 25:24 | 24 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana U21 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 28:23 | 22 |
| 14 | Cruz Azul U21 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Puebla U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 16 | Queretaro U21 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 20:27 | 20 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna U21 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16:25 | 20 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC U21 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 5:31 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
