Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan 
Match Events
8'
8'
Alvarez E.
23'
23'
Sandoval S.
Assist: Romo L.
31'
31'
Marin R.
Assist: Campillo Del Campo D.
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Club Tijuana haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas's recent run of results.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 68%
Club Tijuana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Club Tijuana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
5:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
0:0
Aug 23, 2025 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Guadalajara Chivas
3:3
Feb 10, 2025 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Liga MX
Club Tijuana vs Guadalajara Chivas
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Top Goalscorer Sandoval S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Club Tijuana Compare
Top Goalscorer Elias Manoel
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadalajara Chivas 95 / 100
Club Tijuana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadalajara Chivas Club Tijuana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Guadalajara Chivas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Guadalajara Chivas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Club Tijuana let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Guadalajara Chivas VS Club Tijuana
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas
(Home) 20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2 Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3 Guadalajara Chivas
29 Aug
Pachuca
1 : 1 Guadalajara Chivas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2 Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0 UNAM Pumas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2 Club Tijuana
09 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 1 FC Dallas
25 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0 Juarez
19 Jul
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2 Toluca
Page 1 of 3
Club Tijuana
(Away) 21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2 Club Tijuana
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1 Queretaro
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0 UNAM Pumas
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2 Club Tijuana
17 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 1 Cruz Azul
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Pachuca
2 : 2 Club Tijuana
22 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas
5 : 2 Club Tijuana
14 Aug
Portland Timbers
3 : 1 Club Tijuana
10 Aug
San Diego FC
1 : 0 Club Tijuana
07 Aug
Austin FC
2 : 0 Club Tijuana
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Club Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Atlas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 14 | Atlante | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 8 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:23 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
