Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul
Mexico
Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Cruz Azul in this Liga MX 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guadalajara Chivas haven't matched Cruz Azul's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Cruz Azul's way, sitting at 50%.
- Cruz Azul arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cruz Azul, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 15 | 20 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Cruz Azul Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Cruz Azul has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Guadalajara Chivas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.