Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas vs Santos Laguna
Mexico
Liga MX 2025/2026 Estadio Akron 
AI Match Summary
Guadalajara Chivas play Santos Laguna in the Liga MX 2025/2026. Guadalajara Chivas are favorites here. Recently, Guadalajara Chivas averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1 conceded. Santos Laguna averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Guadalajara Chivas won 4, Santos Laguna won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Guadalajara Chivas and 1.31 for Santos Laguna. This points to a Guadalajara Chivas double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Guadalajara Chivas picked up more points recently compared to Santos Laguna.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Santos Laguna Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Santos Laguna let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Guadalajara Chivas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Santos Laguna lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | 12 |