Sport Picks
Guadalajara Chivas vs Toluca
Mexico
Liga MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Toluca in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toluca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toluca have won more games recently than Guadalajara Chivas.
- Model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Toluca have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadalajara Chivas | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadalajara Chivas Compare
Toluca Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara Chivas's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Toluca conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Guadalajara Chivas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Guadalajara Chivas
(Home)Toluca
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 18 |
| 4 | Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 12 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | 3 |
