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Guadalajara Chivas W vs Pachuca W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Cervantes A.
56'
Sub
Nicosia N. In: Vance M.
Out: Nicosia N.
59' Event
Casarez J. A.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guadalajara Chivas W
40%
Draws
29%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pachuca W lately — more wins on the board than Guadalajara Chivas W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 16%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Pachuca W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 20
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:0
May 1, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Pachuca W
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Pachuca W
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervantes A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casarez J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pachuca W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 31 / 100
Pachuca W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Pachuca W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Pachuca W conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Guadalajara Chivas W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Pachuca W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Club America W4
Juarez W3
Tigres UANL W2
Toluca W4
Monterrey W5
Cruz Azul W1
Pachuca W3
Guadalajara Chivas W2
Semi-finals
Club America W11
Toluca W4
Monterrey W4
Pachuca W3
Final
Club America W3
Monterrey W1