Sport Picks

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Guadalajara Chivas W vs Queretaro W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
George A.
23'
Vite C.
45'
Barone F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Guadalajara Chivas W and Queretaro W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Guadalajara Chivas W
15%
Draws
21%
Queretaro W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 68%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Queretaro W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 4
Draws 8 2
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 1.65 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Queretaro W
3:1
Jan 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Queretaro W
2:0
Jul 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Mar 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Queretaro W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Montoya J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Casarez J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Queretaro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cecena S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 95 / 100
Queretaro W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Queretaro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Queretaro W conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guadalajara Chivas W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Queretaro W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Home)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
30 Aug
Guadalajara Chivas W
0 : 2
UNAM Pumas W
Page 1 of 7

Queretaro W

(Away)
26 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atlas W
21 Sept
Atlante W
2 : 1
Queretaro W
13 Sept
Puebla W
2 : 6
Queretaro W
06 Sept
Queretaro W
0 : 2
Cruz Azul W
29 Aug
Queretaro W
0 : 4
Monterrey W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 9 8 0 1 35:10 24
2 Tigres UANL W 9 7 1 1 29:9 22
3 Juarez W 9 7 0 2 14:6 21
4 Toluca W 8 5 1 2 19:15 16
5 Club Leon W 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
6 Santos Laguna W 9 4 0 5 12:20 12
7 Cruz Azul W 9 4 0 5 11:21 12
8 Atlante W 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
9 Queretaro W 9 2 0 7 10:21 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 8 7 1 0 37:7 22
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 9 6 0 3 20:11 18
3 Atletico San Luis W 9 5 1 3 22:16 16
4 UNAM Pumas W 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 9 3 1 5 13:13 10
7 Club Tijuana W 9 2 0 7 12:24 6
8 Puebla W 9 1 0 8 13:38 3
9 Necaxa W 8 0 0 8 3:32 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)