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Guadalajara vs Alcorcon

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ferreres F. In: Lhery Y.
Out: Ferreres F.
46'
Sub
Martinez B. In: Kopotun V.
Out: Martinez B.
46'
Sub
Garcia N. In: Llorente R.
Out: Garcia N.

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guadalajara
30%
Draws
39%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Alcorcon have won more games recently than Guadalajara.
  • Guadalajara are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 13%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Alcorcon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 14
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Guadalajara vs Alcorcon
0:4
Jan 19, 2013 LaLiga2
Guadalajara vs Alcorcon
3:0
Aug 19, 2012 LaLiga2
Alcorcon vs Guadalajara
1:1
Mar 31, 2012 LaLiga2
Guadalajara vs Alcorcon
1:2
Oct 29, 2011 LaLiga2
Alcorcon vs Guadalajara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Llorente R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kopotun V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 35 / 100
Alcorcon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Alcorcon conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Guadalajara has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS Alcorcon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara

(Home)
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Guadalajara
23 May
Guadalajara
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
17 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Guadalajara
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
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Alcorcon

(Away)
18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0
Alcorcon
14 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 1
Alcorcon
12 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Navalcarnero
01 Aug
Alcorcon
2 : 0
Getafe B
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