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Guadalajara vs Arenteiro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ablanque J.
16'
Perez G.
18' Event
Cadete K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Guadalajara and Arenteiro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Guadalajara
20%
Draws
30%
Arenteiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guadalajara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Arenteiro haven't matched Guadalajara's recent run of results.
  • Guadalajara are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 68%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Arenteiro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara vs Arenteiro
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Guadalajara
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadete K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arenteiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 50 / 100
Arenteiro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Arenteiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arenteiro conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Guadalajara scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Guadalajara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arenteiro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS Arenteiro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara

(Home)
07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1
Guadalajara
03 Oct
Guadalajara
3 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 6

Arenteiro

(Away)
03 Oct
Arenteiro
2 : 3
Antela
27 Sept
Pontevedra B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
20 Sept
Arenteiro
1 : 0
Lalin
13 Sept
Portonovo SD
2 : 1
Arenteiro
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)