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Guadalajara vs Arenteiro

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ablanque J.
16'
Perez G.
18' Event
Cadete K.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Guadalajara and Arenteiro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Guadalajara
30%
Draws
12%
Arenteiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guadalajara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • Arenteiro haven't matched Guadalajara's recent run of results.
  • Guadalajara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 68%
Arenteiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Arenteiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara vs Arenteiro
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenteiro vs Guadalajara
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadete K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Arenteiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 95 / 100
Arenteiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Arenteiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arenteiro conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Guadalajara scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Guadalajara has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Arenteiro's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS Arenteiro
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara

(Home)
05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Guadalajara
23 May
Guadalajara
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
17 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Guadalajara
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
02 May
Real Aviles
2 : 2
Guadalajara
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Arenteiro

(Away)
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Ponferradina
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
03 May
Arenteiro
0 : 4
Cacereno
25 Apr
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Arenteiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)