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Stadium Background

Guadalajara vs CD Ourense

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2013/2014 Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
Guadalajara Logo

Guadalajara

2 - 1
FT
CD Ourense Logo

CD Ourense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Guadalajara advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guadalajara
20%
Draws
50%
CD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Ourense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on CD Ourense taking it.
  • CD Ourense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guadalajara, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 19%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara CD Ourense
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Ourense vs Guadalajara
2:0
Apr 3, 2014 Copa Federacion
Guadalajara vs CD Ourense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 16 / 100
CD Ourense 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara CD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: CD Ourense conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Guadalajara went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara

(Home)
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
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CD Ourense

(Away)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Alzira 1
Yeclano 2
Novelda CF 1
Almeria B 0
Lorca FC 2
Alcoyano 5
Espanyol B 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Zaragoza B 3
Binissalem 0
UD Almansa 1
Atletico Pinto 7
Guadalajara 7
Tenerife B 5
CD Alcala 1
Atletico San Jose Promesas 0
Extremadura UD 1
El Palo 3
CD Laredo 0
CD Ourense 5
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Marino De Luanco 3
AD San Juan 2
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 6
Arandina 4
Varea 1
Amorebieta 5
Real Union 3
Pena 1
1/8-finals
Toledo 3
Yeclano 3
Novelda CF 3
Alcoyano 2
Espanyol B 3
Zaragoza B 5
Atletico Pinto 1
Guadalajara 3
CD Alcala 1
El Palo 1
CD Ourense 4
Marino De Luanco 0
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 0
Amorebieta 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Yeclano 1
Novelda CF 4
Zaragoza B 3
Guadalajara 4
CD Alcala 4
CD Ourense 7
Balmaseda 6
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Novelda CF 1
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
Balmaseda 2
Final
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3