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Guadalajara vs Valladolid Promesas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara host Valladolid Promesas in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Valladolid Promesas have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Guadalajara have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Guadalajara slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2008, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.81, favoring Valladolid Promesas. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Guadalajara
30%
Draws
33%
Valladolid Promesas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guadalajara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Valladolid Promesas have won more games recently than Guadalajara.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 11%
Valladolid Promesas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Valladolid Promesas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Valladolid Promesas vs Guadalajara
2:1
Sep 22, 2007 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Guadalajara vs Valladolid Promesas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 35 / 100
Valladolid Promesas 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Valladolid Promesas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valladolid Promesas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Valladolid Promesas let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Guadalajara has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS Valladolid Promesas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara

(Home)
11 Oct
Guadalajara
4 : 1
Getafe B
07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1
Guadalajara
03 Oct
Guadalajara
3 : 3
Gimnastica Segoviana
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
Page 1 of 6

Valladolid Promesas

(Away)
11 Oct
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
04 Oct
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
27 Sept
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Valladolid Promesas
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1
Albacete B
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0
Valladolid Promesas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 7 4 2 1 10:7 14
2 Conquense 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
3 Numancia 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
4 Salamanca CF UDS 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 CF Talavera 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
6 Valladolid Promesas 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
7 San Sebastian Reyes 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
9 Guadalajara 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
10 Navalcarnero 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 RSD Alcala 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 Real Avila 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 Atletico Tordesillas 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
14 Atletico Paso 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
15 Puertollano C.F. 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
16 Albacete B 6 1 2 3 7:19 5
17 Real Madrid C 6 0 4 2 1:4 4
18 Getafe B 6 0 3 3 4:9 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)