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Guadalupe vs Puntarenas FC

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Taylor S.
25'
Sinclair A.
36'
Taylor R.

AI Match Summary

Guadalupe in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Guadalupe
33%
Draws
40%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Puntarenas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Puntarenas FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Guadalupe.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Puntarenas FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Division 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 20%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Puntarenas FC
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Primera Division
Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe
4:0
Aug 9, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Puntarenas FC
3:2
Oct 11, 2024 Copa Costa Rica
Puntarenas FC vs Guadalupe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angulo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 28 / 100
Puntarenas FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Puntarenas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalupe scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Puntarenas FC let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Guadalupe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Puntarenas FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Puntarenas FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714