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Guadalupe vs Saprissa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Ayala L.
11'
Sub
Acuna S. In: Barahona A.
Out: Acuna S.
29'
Sub
Ayala L. In: Fajardo K.
Out: Ayala L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Guadalupe and Saprissa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saprissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guadalupe
6%
Draws
90%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalupe haven't matched Saprissa's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Saprissa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saprissa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Saprissa
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 20
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.57 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.29 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.29 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Guadalupe
5:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Guadalupe
3:1
Jul 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 10 / 100
Saprissa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Guadalupe found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Saprissa let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Solid form: Guadalupe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Saprissa
0.57 Goals Scored 2.88
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
06 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Saprissa

(Away)
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1
Saprissa
26 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)