Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalupe vs Saprissa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Ayala L.
11'
Sub
Acuna S. In: Barahona A.
Out: Acuna S.
29'
Sub
Ayala L. In: Fajardo K.
Out: Ayala L.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Guadalupe and Saprissa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saprissa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Guadalupe
20%
Draws
70%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Guadalupe haven't matched Saprissa's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Saprissa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Saprissa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 11%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Saprissa
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 4 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.79 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Guadalupe
5:0
Mar 1, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
1:3
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Guadalupe
3:1
Jul 14, 2023 Club Friendly
Guadalupe vs Saprissa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 22 / 100
Saprissa 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saprissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Saprissa conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

Guadalupe scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Guadalupe remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Saprissa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

Saprissa

(Away)
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
31 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Escorpiones
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)