Sport Picks

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Guadalupe vs Zeledon

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sequeira B.
33'
Soto A.
38'
Rodriguez R.

AI Match Summary

Guadalupe in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Guadalupe
20%
Draws
64%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zeledon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Zeledon have won more games recently than Guadalupe.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Guadalupe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 13%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Zeledon
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Zeledon
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Guadalupe
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Zeledon
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Guadalupe
4:0
Apr 23, 2023 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Guadalupe
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Maleck J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zeledon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 35 / 100
Zeledon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeledon has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Zeledon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guadalupe found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Zeledon
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1
Carmelita
15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

Zeledon

(Away)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)