Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalupe vs Zeledon

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sequeira B.
33'
Soto A.
38'
Rodriguez R.

AI Match Summary

Guadalupe in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Guadalupe
22%
Draws
60%
Zeledon
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Zeledon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Zeledon average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Guadalupe's 0.5.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Zeledon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 16%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Zeledon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Zeledon
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Guadalupe
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Zeledon
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Guadalupe
4:0
Apr 23, 2023 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Guadalupe
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Maleck J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Zeledon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 19 / 100
Zeledon 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Zeledon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeledon has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Zeledon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guadalupe found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Zeledon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
06 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Zeledon

(Away)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
23 Apr
Zeledon
0 : 1
Herediano
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)