Sport Picks
Guadeloupe vs Sint Maarten
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 
Match Events
11'
11'
Kerssies T.
23'
23'
Phaeton M.
(Penalty)
25'
25'
Richardson T.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Guadeloupe and Sint Maarten finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadeloupe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sint Maarten
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadeloupe come out ahead of Sint Maarten on wins alone.
- Model gives Guadeloupe a 28% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Guadeloupe have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 68%
Sint Maarten Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadeloupe | Sint Maarten |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 16, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Guadeloupe
0:2
Sep 10, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Sint Maarten
4:0
Oct 14, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten vs Guadeloupe
1:2
Sep 7, 2019 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Sint Maarten
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadeloupe Compare
Top Goalscorer Archimede L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Plumain A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Sint Maarten Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadeloupe 59 / 100
Sint Maarten 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadeloupe Sint Maarten
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadeloupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sint Maarten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
Guadeloupe found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Solid form: Guadeloupe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Guadeloupe VS Sint Maarten
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadeloupe
(Home) 24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3 Guatemala
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1 Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2 Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1 Guadeloupe
22 Mar
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Nicaragua
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24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3 Guatemala
22 Mar
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Nicaragua
19 Nov
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Cayman Islands
11 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1 Martinique
09 Sept
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Suriname
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Sint Maarten
(Away) 30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
Page 1 of 6
30 Mar
Dominica
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
27 Mar
Belize
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
15 Nov
Dominica
2 : 3 Sint Maarten
12 Nov
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0 : 0 Sint Maarten
18 Nov
Aruba
0 : 1 Sint Maarten
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Sint Maarten | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicaragua | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Montserrat | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 4 | Barbados | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:26 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | French Guiana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 3 | Bermuda | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Belize | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | 7 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guyana | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Puerto Rico | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 3 | Antigua and Barbuda | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:22 | 4 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:21 | 1 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League C)
