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Guadeloupe vs Suriname - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Stade Roger Zami, Le Gosier
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Arenate A. In: Leborgne J.
Out: Arenate A.
53'
Lonwijk J.
56'
Montnor J.

AI Match Summary

Guadeloupe in this CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadeloupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Guadeloupe
20%
Draws
51%
Suriname
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suriname

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadeloupe have won more games recently than Suriname.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 11%
Suriname Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadeloupe Suriname
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Guadeloupe vs Suriname
1:0
Jul 20, 2021 Gold Cup
Suriname vs Guadeloupe
2:1
Mar 29, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Suriname vs Guadeloupe
3:2
Mar 24, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Guadeloupe vs Suriname
1:0
Apr 16, 1994 Caribbean Cup
Suriname vs Guadeloupe
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadeloupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Leborgne J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Suriname Compare

Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadeloupe 35 / 100
Suriname 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadeloupe Suriname

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suriname Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guadeloupe scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Suriname let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guadeloupe stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadeloupe VS Suriname
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
2.43 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadeloupe

(Home)
05 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1
Saint Lucia
02 Oct
Saint Lucia
3 : 0
Guadeloupe
28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2
Barbados
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3
Guatemala
Page 1 of 6

Suriname

(Away)
06 Oct
Guatemala
1 : 0
Suriname
02 Oct
Suriname
0 : 0
Guatemala
28 Sept
Suriname
2 : 1
Martinique
26 Sept
Honduras
2 : 3
Suriname
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Suriname 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
3 Guatemala 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
4 Martinique 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
5 Guadeloupe 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
6 Guyana 4 0 1 3 5:13 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Honduras 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Nicaragua 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
4 Trinidad & Tobago 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
5 Cuba 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
6 French Guiana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League A - Play Offs)
Promotion - Gold Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)