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Guadix vs Huetor Tajar

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Guadix and Huetor Tajar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Guadix
15%
Draws
73%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Huetor Tajar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Guadix haven't matched Huetor Tajar's recent run of results.
  • Huetor Tajar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Huetor Tajar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Guadix Clean Sheet 20%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadix Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Huetor Tajar
1:1
Nov 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Guadix
2:1
Apr 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Guadix
3:2
Dec 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Huetor Tajar
0:1
Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs Guadix
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadix 10 / 100
Huetor Tajar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadix Huetor Tajar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Guadix's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Huetor Tajar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Huetor Tajar
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadix

(Home)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Tajar

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)