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Guadix vs Martos

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Guadix and Martos finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Guadix
20%
Draws
64%
Martos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Martos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Martos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Martos a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guadix Clean Sheet 20%
Martos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadix Martos
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.9 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Martos
0:2
Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Guadix
2:1
May 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Martos
1:0
Dec 6, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Guadix
1:1
Apr 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Guadix
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadix 10 / 100
Martos 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadix Martos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Martos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadix's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Martos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Martos lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Martos
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadix

(Home)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
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Martos

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)