Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadix vs River Melilla

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

River Melilla in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored River Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Guadix
15%
Draws
0%
River Melilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadix have won more games recently than River Melilla.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guadix Clean Sheet 10%
River Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadix River Melilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 2
Draws 7 0
Losses 20 28
Goals Scored 0.9 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.73 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs River Melilla
1:2
Sep 22, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Guadix
0:1
Mar 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs River Melilla
1:0
Oct 22, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
River Melilla vs Guadix
2:0
Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs River Melilla
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadix 29 / 100
River Melilla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadix River Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: River Melilla conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: River Melilla registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Guadix scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Guadix VS River Melilla
1 Goals Scored 0.5
3.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadix

(Home)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 6

River Melilla

(Away)
19 May
UD San Pedro
3 : 2
River Melilla
11 May
River Melilla
0 : 3
Antequera
04 May
Torremolinos
5 : 0
River Melilla
01 May
River Melilla
2 : 5
Loja
27 Apr
River Melilla
1 : 5
Alhaurin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)