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Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia Estadio Parque del Guairá, Villarrica
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Chaparro R.
90' Event
Mendoza J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Fernando de la Mora in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fernando de la Mora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Guairena FC
15%
Draws
76%
Fernando de la Mora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fernando de la Mora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Fernando de la Mora have won more games recently than Guairena FC.
  • Model gives Fernando de la Mora a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 15%
Fernando de la Mora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guairena FC Fernando de la Mora
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora
0:2
Jun 6, 2026 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC
1:3
Jul 25, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora
5:2
Apr 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Fernando de la Mora vs Guairena FC
0:1
Aug 22, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Fernando de la Mora
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guairena FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fernando de la Mora Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaparro R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guairena FC 10 / 100
Fernando de la Mora 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guairena FC Fernando de la Mora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernando de la Mora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guairena FC scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Fernando de la Mora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guairena FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guairena FC VS Fernando de la Mora
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guairena FC

(Home)
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1
Guairena FC
12 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 3
General Caballero JLM
08 Sept
Paraguari AC
3 : 1
Guairena FC
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Fernando de la Mora

(Away)
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
2 : 1
Resistencia
13 Sept
Sol de America
3 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
09 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 26 16 3 7 45:25 51
2 General Caballero JLM 26 15 5 6 52:33 50
3 12 de Junio 26 14 7 5 35:26 49
4 Benjamin Aceval 26 12 6 8 40:32 42
5 Sol de America 26 9 13 4 32:24 40
6 Sportivo Carapegua 27 11 6 10 32:39 39
7 Paraguari AC 27 11 5 11 36:35 38
8 Independiente FBC 26 9 10 7 37:33 37
9 Atletico Tembetary 27 10 6 11 39:42 36
10 Resistencia 27 9 8 10 31:32 35
11 Fernando de la Mora 26 9 7 10 30:35 34
12 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
13 3 de Noviembre 27 6 8 13 33:40 26
14 Guairena FC 26 6 7 13 22:35 25
15 Tacuary 27 4 12 11 30:43 24
16 Encarnacion FC 27 6 4 17 25:39 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)