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Guajara vs Real Ariquemes Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Rondoniense 2017
Guajara Logo

Guajara

1 - 4
FT
Real Ariquemes Logo

Real Ariquemes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 game between Guajara and Real Ariquemes finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Ariquemes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guajara
15%
Draws
85%
Real Ariquemes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Ariquemes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Ariquemes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Ariquemes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Guajara Clean Sheet 20%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guajara Real Ariquemes
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.89 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.73 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Real Ariquemes
0:1
Feb 2, 2020 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Guajara
1:3
Mar 14, 2019 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Guajara
3:2
Feb 10, 2019 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Real Ariquemes
1:1
Apr 15, 2018 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Real Ariquemes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guajara 10 / 100
Real Ariquemes 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guajara Real Ariquemes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Ariquemes has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Real Ariquemes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guajara found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Ariquemes
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 4.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guajara

(Home)
15 Mar
Guajara
0 : 3
Genus
14 Mar
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Guajara
08 Mar
Guajara
0 : 1
Real Ariquemes
23 Feb
CA Rondoniense
3 : 0
Guajara
15 Feb
Genus
2 : 0
Guajara
Page 1 of 8

Real Ariquemes

(Away)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona RO 14 9 3 2 21:9 30
2 Real Ariquemes 14 7 7 0 18:7 28
3 Vilhena 14 6 4 4 18:14 22
4 Genus 14 4 7 3 18:13 19
5 Ariquemes FC 14 3 8 3 23:15 17
6 CA Rondoniense 14 4 5 5 18:20 17
7 Ji-Parana 14 3 3 8 21:25 12
8 Guajara 14 1 1 12 9:43 4
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2017 (Play Offs)