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Gualaceo vs Fuerza Amarilla

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020
Sun, Oct 25, 2020
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gualaceo host Fuerza Amarilla in the Serie B 2020. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Gualaceo at 0.88 goals for, 0.38 against; Fuerza Amarilla at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Gualaceo have won 0 to Fuerza Amarilla's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 0.69) back Gualaceo to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gualaceo
33%
Draws
27%
Fuerza Amarilla
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gualaceo come out ahead of Fuerza Amarilla on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gualaceo taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 20%
Fuerza Amarilla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo Fuerza Amarilla
Matches Played 36 16
Wins 13 2
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2020 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Oct 10, 2020 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Fuerza Amarilla
1:1
Aug 30, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Gualaceo
0:0
Aug 22, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Gualaceo
2:1
Oct 21, 2018 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Fuerza Amarilla
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 40 / 100
Fuerza Amarilla 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo Fuerza Amarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gualaceo scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Fuerza Amarilla conceded in 63% of 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Gualaceo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
10 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Cumbaya
06 Jun
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Gualaceo
Page 1 of 8

Fuerza Amarilla

(Away)
14 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
America de Quito
08 Nov
Atletico Santo Domingo
0 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
04 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
31 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
25 Oct
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416
Promotion - Liga Pro 2021 (First stage)