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Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Gualaceo Logo

Gualaceo

2 - 3
FT
Independiente Juniors Logo

Independiente Juniors

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gongora J.
23' Event
Cuero Palacio J. R.
48' Event
Allauca F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independiente Juniors in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Gualaceo
20%
Draws
33%
Independiente Juniors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gualaceo have won more games recently than Independiente Juniors.
  • Gualaceo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo Independiente Juniors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors
2:3
May 7, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors
1:0
Jul 24, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gongora J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allauca F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuero Palacio J. R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Izquiedo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 50 / 100
Independiente Juniors 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo Independiente Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gualaceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gualaceo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Gualaceo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Independiente Juniors let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS Independiente Juniors
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
Page 1 of 6

Independiente Juniors

(Away)
08 Oct
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
02 Oct
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Independiente Juniors
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)