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Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Salazar R.
78' Event
Ayovi B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Gualaceo and LDU Portoviejo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gualaceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Gualaceo
28%
Draws
22%
LDU Portoviejo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gualaceo come out ahead of LDU Portoviejo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gualaceo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo LDU Portoviejo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo
1:0
Apr 3, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
2:0
Sep 29, 2021 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
1:0
Aug 4, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Gualaceo
1:1
Jun 20, 2021 Serie B
Gualaceo vs LDU Portoviejo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salazar R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayovi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 59 / 100
LDU Portoviejo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo LDU Portoviejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gualaceo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

LDU Portoviejo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Gualaceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS LDU Portoviejo
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1686219:1130
2Atletico FC1669117:1227
3CD Cuenca Juniors1675418:1826
4Independiente Juniors1667317:1125
5Vinotinto1665521:1323
6Cumbaya1656519:1621
7San Antonio1648419:1620
8Dep. Santo Domingo1657413:1119
9LDU Portoviejo1654714:2019
10Gualaceo1666413:1018
1122 de Julio1633108:226
12EL Nacional1604129:271