Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gualaceo vs Macara

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Gualaceo Logo

Gualaceo

Wed, Jul 29, 2026
2 - 1
08:00 PM
Macara Logo

Macara

Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Coime J.
59'
Ayala M.
66' Event
Posse F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gualaceo
15%
Draws
46%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Macara lately — more wins on the board than Gualaceo.
  • Model gives Gualaceo a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Macara arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gualaceo, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gualaceo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%
Macara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo Macara
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Copa Ecuador
Gualaceo vs Macara
2:1
Sep 17, 2022 Liga Pro
Macara vs Gualaceo
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Pro
Gualaceo vs Macara
2:1
Nov 27, 2016 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Macara
1:0
Jul 30, 2016 Serie B
Macara vs Gualaceo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Coime J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Posse F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 50 / 100
Macara 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gualaceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gualaceo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Macara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Gualaceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS Macara
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
27 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
Gualaceo
25 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 2
Independiente del Valle
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
Page 1 of 6

Macara

(Away)
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
30 Aug
Orense
1 : 2
Macara
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 0
LDU Portoviejo 3
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 1
Aucas 0
Astillero 0
U. Catolica 1
Independiente del Valle 2
Gualaceo 0
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 2
Semi-finals
LDU Quito -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Delfin -
Final
TBD -
TBD -