Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2025 Estadio Jorge Andrade

Gualaceo

1 - 5

Nueve de Octubre

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Grueso M.

38'

Rojas A.

80'

Grueso M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025 game between Gualaceo and Nueve de Octubre finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nueve de Octubre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Gualaceo

39%

Draws

31%

Nueve de Octubre

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Gualaceo haven't matched Nueve de Octubre's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Serie B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%

Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gualaceo	Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	7	10
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Serie B

Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Apr 26, 2026 Serie B

Gualaceo vs Nueve de Octubre

Possession: 49% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Oct 29, 2025 Serie B

Gualaceo vs Nueve de Octubre

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

1:5

Aug 26, 2025 Serie B

Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Jun 27, 2025 Serie B

Nueve de Octubre vs Gualaceo

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Nueve de Octubre Compare

Top Goalscorer Grueso M.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Rojas A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 41 / 100

Nueve de Octubre 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gualaceo Nueve de Octubre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gualaceo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Nueve de Octubre conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gualaceo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS Nueve de Octubre

1 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 38%

25% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Guayaquil City	32	16	10	6	44:22	55
2	Leones del Norte	32	14	12	6	36:23	54
3	Independiente Juniors	32	13	8	11	39:34	47
4	Nueve de Octubre	32	12	10	10	35:26	46
5	Gualaceo	32	12	9	11	39:47	46
6	San Antonio	32	10	10	12	34:40	40