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Guam vs Northern Mariana Islands

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mendiola D.
26' Event
Lopez M.
65' Event
Tanzawa R.

AI Match Summary

The EAFF E-1 Football Championship 2019 game between Guam and Northern Mariana Islands finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guam
6%
Draws
4%
Northern Mariana Islands
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guam taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Guam Clean Sheet 68%
Northern Mariana Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guam Northern Mariana Islands
Matches Played 34 27
Wins 11 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam
0:8
Dec 21, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam
1:2
Apr 7, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam
2:1
Apr 6, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Mariana Islands vs Guam
2:2
Sep 2, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Guam vs Northern Mariana Islands
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guam Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendiola D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Northern Mariana Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guam 95 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guam Northern Mariana Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Northern Mariana Islands conceded in 96% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Northern Mariana Islands registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guam scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Guam VS Northern Mariana Islands
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guam

(Home)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
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Northern Mariana Islands

(Away)
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
21 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 2
Guam
07 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands
2 : 1
Guam
06 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands
2 : 2
Guam
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mongolia321014:27
2Macau31114:54
3Guam31115:34
4Northern Mariana Islands30121:141
Promotion - EAFF E-1 Football Championship 2019 (Second stage)