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Guam W vs Lebanon W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Tamim H.
47' Event
Iskander L.
60' Event
Tamim H.

AI Match Summary

Lebanon W in this Asian Cup Women 2022 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Guam W
15%
Draws
39%
Lebanon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guam W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lebanon W have won more games recently than Guam W.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Guam W taking it.
  • Lebanon W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lebanon W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lebanon W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Guam W Clean Sheet 15%
Lebanon W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guam W Lebanon W
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2024 WAFF Championship Women
Guam W vs Lebanon W
3:4
Oct 24, 2021 Asian Cup Women
Guam W vs Lebanon W
0:3
Apr 5, 2017 Asian Cup Women
Guam W vs Lebanon W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guam W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lebanon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamim H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iskander L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guam W 75 / 100
Lebanon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guam W Lebanon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guam W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Lebanon W conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Guam W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Lebanon W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guam W VS Lebanon W
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guam W

(Home)
07 Jun
Guam W
3 : 0
Macau W
03 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 0
Guam W
05 Jul
Vietnam W
4 : 0
Guam W
02 Jul
Maldives W
0 : 3
Guam W
29 Jun
Guam W
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates W
Page 1 of 5

Lebanon W

(Away)
28 Nov
Jordan W
5 : 0
Lebanon W
26 Nov
Lebanon W
0 : 3
Palestine W
19 Jul
Singapore W
0 : 1
Lebanon W
16 Jul
Lebanon W
3 : 1
Iran W
10 Jul
Bhutan W
2 : 1
Lebanon W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chinese Taipei W 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Bahrain W 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
3 Laos W 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 2 2 0 0 23:0 6
2 Tajikistan W 2 1 0 1 4:7 3
3 Maldives W 2 0 0 2 0:20 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia W 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Singapore W 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Lebanon W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 United Arab Emirates W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Guam W 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea W 2 2 0 0 16:0 6
2 Uzbekistan W 2 1 0 1 12:4 3
3 Mongolia W 2 0 0 2 0:24 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Philippines W 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Hong Kong W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Nepal W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran W 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Jordan W 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Bangladesh W 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand W 2 2 0 0 11:0 6
2 Malaysia W 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Palestine W 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women 2022 (Main)