Sport Picks

Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2019

Northern Mariana Islands W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guam W play Northern Mariana Islands W in the EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2019. Guam W are favorites here. Recently, Guam W averaged 1.89 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Northern Mariana Islands W averaged 1 goals scored and 6.29 conceded. In past meetings, Guam W won 3, Northern Mariana Islands W won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 7, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Guam W and 1.56 for Northern Mariana Islands W. This points to a Guam W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Guam W

22%

Draws

22%

Northern Mariana Islands W

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Guam W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Guam W picked up more points recently compared to Northern Mariana Islands W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Guam W Clean Sheet 15%

Northern Mariana Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guam W	Northern Mariana Islands W
Matches Played	28	21
Wins	10	3
Draws	3	4
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.89	1
Goals Conceded	2.29	6.29
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	6.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Friendly International Women

Northern Mariana Islands W vs Guam W

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Apr 6, 2024 Friendly International Women

Northern Mariana Islands W vs Guam W

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:3

Sep 7, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women

Guam W vs Northern Mariana Islands W

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Jul 3, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women

Guam W vs Northern Mariana Islands W

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

5:0

Jul 20, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women

Guam W vs Northern Mariana Islands W

Possession: 59% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

7:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guam W 53 / 100

Northern Mariana Islands W 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guam W Northern Mariana Islands W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guam W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Guam W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guam W attacking → ← attacking Northern Mariana Islands W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guam W scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Northern Mariana Islands W let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Guam W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Northern Mariana Islands W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 13

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mongolia W	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	Guam W	3	1	1	1	5:1	4
3	Northern Mariana Islands W	3	0	2	1	2:3	2
4	Macau W	3	0	2	1	0:5	2