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Guanacasteca vs Saprissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2024/2025 Estadio Chorotega, Nicoya
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Rodriguez N.
38' Event
Venegas J.
40'
Sub
Duarte O. In: Sequeira D.
Out: Duarte O.

AI Match Summary

Guanacasteca in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guanacasteca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guanacasteca
15%
Draws
85%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Saprissa have won more games recently than Guanacasteca.
  • Saprissa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Guanacasteca Clean Sheet 16%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guanacasteca Saprissa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.77 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Guanacasteca
3:0
Feb 5, 2025 Primera Division
Guanacasteca vs Saprissa
2:0
Oct 18, 2024 Primera Division
Guanacasteca vs Saprissa
2:0
Aug 1, 2024 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Saprissa vs Guanacasteca
5:0
Jul 25, 2024 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Guanacasteca
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guanacasteca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Venegas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Saprissa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guanacasteca 10 / 100
Saprissa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guanacasteca Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saprissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Saprissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Guanacasteca scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Saprissa's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saprissa
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guanacasteca

(Home)
07 May
Guanacasteca
0 : 3
Herediano
04 May
Saprissa
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
26 Apr
Guanacasteca
0 : 3
Sporting FC
20 Apr
Cartagines
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
15 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
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Saprissa

(Away)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 22 13 7 2 38:18 46
2 Alajuelense 22 10 12 0 28:12 42
3 Puntarenas FC 22 11 8 3 29:18 41
4 Saprissa 22 11 6 5 30:18 39
5 Cartagines 22 11 5 6 29:16 38
6 Sporting FC 22 9 4 9 25:28 31
7 Liberia 22 7 3 12 26:26 24
8 Santos De Guapiles 22 6 6 10 26:33 24
9 Zeledon 22 6 5 11 16:28 23
10 San Carlos 22 4 7 11 16:23 19
11 Guanacasteca 22 3 7 12 12:33 16
12 Santa Ana 22 2 8 12 22:44 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)