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Guangdong Mingtu vs Quanzhou Yassin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two 2025 Huadu Stadium, Guangzhou
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Huang Yikai In: Abdusemet E.
Out: Huang Yikai
56' Event
He J.
Assist: Abdusemet E.
67' Event
Wu Z.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025 game between Guangdong Mingtu and Quanzhou Yassin finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guangdong Mingtu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guangdong Mingtu
35%
Draws
18%
Quanzhou Yassin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangdong Mingtu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guangdong Mingtu a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%
Quanzhou Yassin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Quanzhou Yassin
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 17 10
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 0.91 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Quanzhou Yassin
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 League Two
Quanzhou Yassin vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer He J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wu Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Quanzhou Yassin Compare

Top Goalscorer Deng Shenzhu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 95 / 100
Quanzhou Yassin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Quanzhou Yassin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guangdong Mingtu scored in 63% of their last 35 outings.

Quanzhou Yassin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Guangdong Mingtu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong Mingtu VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong Mingtu

(Home)
06 Oct
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 1
Dalian Yingbo B
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
Page 1 of 7

Quanzhou Yassin

(Away)
25 Oct
Quanzhou Yassin
0 : 4
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
18 Oct
Hangzhou Linping
2 : 1
Quanzhou Yassin
04 Oct
Quanzhou Yassin
1 : 1
Hubei Istar
27 Sept
Shanghai Port B
0 : 0
Quanzhou Yassin
20 Sept
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
0 : 0
Quanzhou Yassin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wuxi Wugou 22 13 6 3 31:14 45
2 Shandong Taishan B 22 10 9 3 36:22 39
3 Nantong Haimen 22 10 8 4 38:24 38
4 Changchun Xidu 22 10 8 4 19:11 38
5 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:22 35
6 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 8 6 24:26 32
7 Taian Tiankuang 22 7 5 10 22:25 26
8 Shanghai Port B 22 6 7 9 25:26 25
9 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 5 8 9 17:32 23
10 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 5 7 10 21:32 22
11 Beijing Technology 22 5 2 15 21:29 17
12 Hubei Istar 22 3 7 12 23:39 16
Promotion - League Two 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangxi Hengchen 22 18 3 1 47:9 57
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 14 6 2 30:13 48
3 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 12 4 6 39:20 40
4 Guizhou Guiyang 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
5 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 11 5 6 31:18 38
6 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 8 5 9 21:20 29
7 Wenzhou Professional 22 6 8 8 21:27 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 4 11 7 18:28 23
9 Guangdong Mingtu 22 4 8 10 20:32 20
10 Kunming City Star 22 4 7 11 15:31 19
11 Quanzhou Yassin 22 3 6 13 13:30 15
12 Guangxi Lanhang 22 0 6 16 10:45 6
Promotion - League Two 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two 2025 (Relegation Group)