Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028

China China

League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guangdong Mingtu play Shenzhen 2028 in the League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guangdong Mingtu averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Shenzhen 2028 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Guangdong Mingtu won 0, Shenzhen 2028 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Guangdong Mingtu and 1.19 for Shenzhen 2028. This points to a Shenzhen 2028 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Guangdong Mingtu
28%
Draws
47%
Shenzhen 2028
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Shenzhen 2028

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Guangdong Mingtu picked up more points recently compared to Shenzhen 2028.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 20%
Shenzhen 2028 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Shenzhen 2028
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Guangdong Mingtu
3:1
Jun 1, 2025 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 27 / 100
Shenzhen 2028 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Shenzhen 2028

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shenzhen 2028 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guangdong Mingtu attacking → ← attacking Shenzhen 2028

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangdong Mingtu scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Shenzhen 2028 let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Guangdong Mingtu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Shenzhen 2028 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 48
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
2Shandong Taishan B1592422:1329
3Dalian Kewei1467112:525
4Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
5Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1463518:1421
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1538414:1417
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1525814:2711
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281575323:1826
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
5Jiangxi Lushan1473418:1224
6Ganzhou Ruishi1565416:1423
7Guangzhou Dandelion1553716:1918
8Guangdong Mingtu1537515:1716
9Hangzhou Linping1437413:2116
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B153489:1713
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179