Sport Picks
Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028 Prediction & H2H Stats
China
League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium, Guangzhou 
Match Events
27'
27'
Jiang W.
Assist: Luan Cheng
30'
30'
Huang Z.
Assist: Li Mingjie
33'
33'
Wang Tanyou
Assist: Tan Zhennan
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Shenzhen 2028 have won more games recently than Guangdong Mingtu.
- Model gives Guangdong Mingtu a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%
Shenzhen 2028 Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guangdong Mingtu | Shenzhen 2028 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Guangdong Mingtu
3:1
Jun 1, 2025 League Two
Shenzhen 2028 vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Shenzhen 2028
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guangdong Mingtu Compare
Top Goalscorer Wang Tanyou
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Shenzhen 2028 Compare
Top Goalscorer Jiang W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Huang Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guangdong Mingtu 59 / 100
Shenzhen 2028 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guangdong Mingtu Shenzhen 2028
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Guangdong Mingtu scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Shenzhen 2028's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Guangdong Mingtu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guangdong Mingtu VS Shenzhen 2028
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Guangdong Mingtu
(Home) 18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0 Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0 Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0 Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns B
09 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0 Wenzhou Professional
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0 Shanghai Second
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns B
09 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0 Wenzhou Professional
27 Jul
Guangdong Mingtu
2 : 0 Chengdu Rongcheng B
11 Jul
Guangdong Mingtu
2 : 2 Shenzhen 2028
Page 1 of 3
Shenzhen 2028
(Away) 19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0 Shenzhen 2028
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
23 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 1 Hubei Istar
16 Aug
Wenzhou Professional
1 : 1 Shenzhen 2028
08 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
6 : 0 Ganzhou Ruishi
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0 Shenzhen 2028
16 Aug
Wenzhou Professional
1 : 1 Shenzhen 2028
01 Aug
Guizhou Guiyang
1 : 0 Shenzhen 2028
25 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
1 : 2 Shenzhen 2028
11 Jul
Guangdong Mingtu
2 : 2 Shenzhen 2028
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan B | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 33:21 | 41 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port B | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 36:19 | 40 |
| 3 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 29:17 | 40 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22:14 | 37 |
| 5 | Taian Tiankuang | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:23 | 31 |
| 6 | Dalian Yingbo B | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 21:22 | 28 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 8 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 13:16 | 26 |
| 9 | Qingdao Red Lions | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 15:28 | 20 |
| 11 | Beijing Technology | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21:42 | 16 |
| 12 | Shanghai Second | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22:39 | 15 |
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guizhou Guiyang | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 32:17 | 42 |
| 2 | Shenzhen 2028 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:25 | 37 |
| 3 | Jiangxi Lushan | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 25:19 | 35 |
| 4 | Hangzhou Linping | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 25:28 | 34 |
| 5 | Hubei Istar | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:23 | 34 |
| 6 | Xiamen Feilu | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29:28 | 29 |
| 7 | Guangdong Mingtu | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22:20 | 26 |
| 8 | Ganzhou Ruishi | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 19:32 | 26 |
| 9 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22:28 | 25 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Wenzhou Professional | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 15:23 | 22 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns B | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | 19 |
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)
