Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka

China China

League One Guangxi Sports Center, Nanning
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mbo N.
Assist: Ardazishvili R.
43'
Luan H.
46'
Sub
Li Jiarun In: Liao J.
Out: Li Jiarun

AI Match Summary

Guangxi Hengchen in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guangxi Hengchen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Guangxi Hengchen
15%
Draws
21%
Meizhou Hakka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guangxi Hengchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Guangxi Hengchen have won more games recently than Meizhou Hakka.
  • Model gives Guangxi Hengchen a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guangxi Hengchen here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 18%
Meizhou Hakka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangxi Hengchen Meizhou Hakka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 League One
Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 League One
Meizhou Hakka vs Guangxi Hengchen
2:1
May 20, 2025 FA Cup
Guangxi Hengchen vs Meizhou Hakka
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbo N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Meizhou Hakka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangxi Hengchen 85 / 100
Meizhou Hakka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangxi Hengchen Meizhou Hakka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangxi Hengchen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangxi Hengchen scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Meizhou Hakka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Guangxi Hengchen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangxi Hengchen VS Meizhou Hakka
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangxi Hengchen

(Home)
25 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
18 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

Meizhou Hakka

(Away)
19 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
13 Sept
Meizhou Hakka
2 : 1
Nanjing City
06 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
5 : 1
Meizhou Hakka
30 Aug
Ningbo Professional
1 : 1
Meizhou Hakka
22 Aug
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 5
Guangdong GZ-Power
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 24 16 6 2 48:20 54
2 Guangxi Hengchen 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
3 Shenzhen Juniors 24 12 8 4 39:25 44
4 Nantong Zhiyun 24 11 9 4 33:20 42
5 Shaanxi Union 24 10 6 8 38:26 36
6 Yanbian Longding 24 9 8 7 33:27 35
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 24 8 7 9 22:25 31
8 Wuxi Wugou 23 8 5 10 35:29 29
9 Ningbo Professional 23 9 5 9 27:29 29
10 Changchun Yatai 24 10 3 11 37:40 29
11 Dalian Kun City 24 7 8 9 30:36 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 24 7 8 9 28:33 26
13 Dingnan Ganlian 24 4 11 9 35:46 23
14 Nanjing City 24 5 6 13 20:33 21
15 Meizhou Hakka 24 7 3 14 25:50 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 24 2 7 15 24:49 13
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)