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Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Eastern AA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2019/2020 Yuexiushan Stadium, Guangzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Camargo E.
14' Event
Lam K.
49' Event
Tiago Leonco

AI Match Summary

Eastern AA in this Senior Shield 2019/2020 tie, finishing 3-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
15%
Draws
39%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eastern AA lately — more wins on the board than Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Eastern AA arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Clean Sheet 20%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Eastern AA
Matches Played 29 48
Wins 17 21
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.83 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2020 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
0:0
Sep 28, 2020 FA Cup
Eastern AA vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
2:0
Dec 25, 2019 Senior Shield
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Eastern AA
3:5
Sep 14, 2019 Premier League
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Eastern AA
0:4
Jan 19, 2019 Premier League
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Eastern AA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Leonco
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tse S. K. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Camargo E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lam K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 31 / 100
Eastern AA 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Eastern AA conceded in 65% of 48 recent games.

Solid form: Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Eastern AA
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

(Home)
11 Oct
Eastern AA
0 : 0
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
05 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
01 Oct
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
2 : 3
Kitchee
28 Sept
Eastern AA
2 : 0
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
25 Sept
Happy Valley
2 : 5
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
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Eastern AA

(Away)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) -
TBD -
Happy Valley 0
Pegasus 1
Eastern AA -
TBD -
TBD -
Southern District -
Kitchee -
TBD -
Yuen Long 0
Lee Man Warriors 3
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Quarter-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 2
Pegasus 1
Eastern AA 1
Southern District 0
Kitchee 1
Lee Man Warriors 5
Tai Po 5
Hong Kong Rangers 1
Semi-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 3
Eastern AA 5
Lee Man Warriors 3
Tai Po 0
Final
Eastern AA 2
Lee Man Warriors 0