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Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Pegasus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Senior Shield 2019/2020 Yuexiushan Stadium, Guangzhou
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Logo

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

2 - 1
FT
Pegasus Logo

Pegasus

Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Alves da Silva G.
83' Event
Lokolingoy C.
90' Event
Alves da Silva G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
15%
Draws
48%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pegasus haven't matched Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)'s recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) taking it.
  • Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong), who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Clean Sheet 20%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Pegasus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.83 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2020 Premier League
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Pegasus
0:0
May 10, 2020 Premier League
Pegasus vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Senior Shield
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Pegasus
2:1
May 19, 2019 Premier League
Pegasus vs Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
2:3
Sep 29, 2018 Premier League
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) vs Pegasus
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves da Silva G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Pegasus Compare

Top Goalscorer Lokolingoy C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 67 / 100
Pegasus 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)'s goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pegasus conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pegasus
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)

(Home)
11 Oct
Eastern AA
0 : 0
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
05 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
01 Oct
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
2 : 3
Kitchee
28 Sept
Eastern AA
2 : 0
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
25 Sept
Happy Valley
2 : 5
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong)
Page 1 of 6

Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) -
TBD -
Happy Valley 0
Pegasus 1
Eastern AA -
TBD -
TBD -
Southern District -
Kitchee -
TBD -
Yuen Long 0
Lee Man Warriors 3
Tai Po -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Quarter-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 2
Pegasus 1
Eastern AA 1
Southern District 0
Kitchee 1
Lee Man Warriors 5
Tai Po 5
Hong Kong Rangers 1
Semi-finals
Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 3
Eastern AA 5
Lee Man Warriors 3
Tai Po 0
Final
Eastern AA 2
Lee Man Warriors 0