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Guarai SC vs Araguacema

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

2 - 0
FT
Araguacema Logo

Araguacema

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarai SC in this Tocantinense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarai SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Guarai SC
30%
Draws
33%
Araguacema
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Araguacema haven't matched Guarai SC's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Guarai SC taking it.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 18%
Araguacema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Araguacema
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.21 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Araguacema
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 85 / 100
Araguacema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Araguacema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Araguacema has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guarai SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
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Araguacema

(Away)
23 Nov
Batalhao
4 : 1
Araguacema
16 Nov
Araguacema
3 : 1
Batalhao
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
02 Nov
Arsenal (TO)
0 : 2
Araguacema
26 Oct
Araguacema
0 : 3
Bela Vista-TO
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batalhao 6 4 2 0 22:5 14
2 Interporto 6 3 3 0 16:5 12
3 Araguaia (TO) 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 Sao Jose (TO) 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
5 Alvorada 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
6 Taquarussu 6 1 0 5 4:21 3
7 Uniao de Palmas 6 0 0 6 4:18 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bela Vista-TO 5 4 1 0 17:1 13
2 SD Sparta 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Guarai SC 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
4 Araguacema 5 2 1 2 10:7 7
5 Arsenal (TO) 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
6 Colinas 4 0 0 4 1:26 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 2024 (Play Offs)