Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarai SC vs Capital FC

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

1 - 3
FT
Capital FC Logo

Capital FC

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Pedro Testa
45' Event
Italo Caua
73' Event
Sousa Araujo R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Capital FC in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capital FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Guarai SC
35%
Draws
13%
Capital FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarai SC lately — more wins on the board than Capital FC.
  • Guarai SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tocantinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 16%
Capital FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Capital FC
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.31 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Capital FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarai SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Capital FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Testa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo Caua
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 84 / 100
Capital FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Capital FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Capital FC conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Guarai SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Capital FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
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Capital FC

(Away)
21 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 2
Capital FC
14 Mar
Capital FC
1 : 2
Tocantinopolis
07 Mar
Tocantinopolis
2 : 1
Capital FC
04 Mar
Capital FC
1 : 2
Manaus FC
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)