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Guarai SC vs Interporto

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Guarai SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guarai SC
30%
Draws
39%
Interporto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Interporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Guarai SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guarai SC a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Guarai SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarai SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%
Interporto Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Interporto
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.43 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tocantinense 2
Interporto vs Guarai SC
2:2
Nov 15, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Interporto
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Interporto vs Guarai SC
1:3
Nov 23, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Interporto vs Guarai SC
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Interporto
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 56 / 100
Interporto 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Interporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Interporto conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Guarai SC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Interporto
1.25 Goals Scored 2.4
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.4
88% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
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Interporto

(Away)
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
16 Sept
Batalhao
0 : 1
Interporto
12 Sept
Interporto
1 : 0
Taquarussu
15 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Interporto
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
SD Sparta 2
Araguaia (TO) 1
Bela Vista-TO 4
Sao Jose (TO) 2
Batalhao 5
Araguacema 4
Interporto 2
Guarai SC 4
Semi-finals
SD Sparta 1
Bela Vista-TO 2
Batalhao 5
Guarai SC 1
Final
Bela Vista-TO 5
Batalhao 2