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Guarai SC vs Palmas

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tocantinense matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Guarai SC
30%
Draws
58%
Palmas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarai SC have won more games recently than Palmas.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 10%
Palmas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Palmas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Palmas
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Palmas
1:3
Dec 3, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Palmas vs Guarai SC
1:1
Apr 18, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Palmas
2:3
Mar 14, 2015 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Guarai SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 30 / 100
Palmas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palmas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Palmas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Guarai SC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Palmas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Guarai SC
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Palmas

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 7 6 1 0 10:1 19
2 Uniao Carmolandense 7 4 1 2 12:5 13
3 Gurupi 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 Capital FC 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
5 Araguaina 7 2 2 3 7:7 8
6 Bela Vista-TO 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
7 Palmas 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
8 Guarai SC 7 0 2 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Tocantinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Tocantinense 2 2027 (Main)