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Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
Guarai SC Logo

Guarai SC

2 - 0
FT
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guarai SC in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarai SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guarai SC
30%
Draws
23%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Guarai SC have won more games recently than Paraiso EC.
  • Guarai SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guarai SC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Paraiso EC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.37 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
4:0
Apr 12, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 7, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
2:0
Apr 24, 2012 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
5:1
Mar 11, 2012 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 85 / 100
Paraiso EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paraiso EC has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Paraiso EC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Paraiso EC
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
2 Interporto 14 6 5 3 25:23 23
3 Palmas 14 7 1 6 23:17 22
4 Gurupi 14 6 3 5 19:15 21
5 Paraiso EC 14 5 5 4 19:16 20
6 Araguaina 14 5 3 6 18:21 18
7 Tocantins 14 4 2 8 23:33 14
8 Guarai SC 14 3 2 9 20:29 11
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 (Play Offs)