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Guarani de Fram vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Galeano L.
21' Event
Oviedo A.
24' Event
Oviedo A.

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo in this Division Intermedia 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Lorenzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guarani de Fram
20%
Draws
50%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Lorenzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Lorenzo lately — more wins on the board than Guarani de Fram.
  • Model gives San Lorenzo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Guarani de Fram Clean Sheet 25%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Fram San Lorenzo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guarani de Fram vs San Lorenzo
1:2
May 8, 2025 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Guarani de Fram
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Galeano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Oviedo A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Fram 25 / 100
San Lorenzo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Fram San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Lorenzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Guarani de Fram scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Guarani de Fram remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Lorenzo
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Fram

(Home)
04 Oct
Guairena FC
3 : 1
Guarani de Fram
26 Sept
Guarani de Fram
1 : 0
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Independiente FBC
2 : 0
Guarani de Fram
15 Sept
Guarani de Fram
0 : 2
Sol de America
06 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 0
Guarani de Fram
Page 1 of 6

San Lorenzo

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rubio Nu 30 17 9 4 46:21 60
2 San Lorenzo 30 15 8 7 38:22 53
3 Deportivo Capiata 30 14 10 6 37:21 52
4 12 de Junio 30 12 12 6 36:26 48
5 Pastoreo 30 10 11 9 34:31 41
6 Resistencia 30 9 13 8 46:50 40
7 Guairena FC 30 11 6 13 41:38 39
8 Sol de America 30 9 11 10 34:35 38
9 Tacuary 30 10 8 12 28:36 38
10 Club River Plate 30 8 13 9 35:39 37
11 Deportivo Santani 30 8 11 11 33:35 35
12 Encarnacion FC 30 8 11 11 33:42 35
13 Sportivo Carapegua 30 7 13 10 39:46 34
14 Independiente FBC 30 9 7 14 32:40 34
15 Fernando de la Mora 30 6 10 14 24:40 28
16 Guarani de Fram 30 5 11 14 35:49 26
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)