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Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Goncalves E. T.
Own Goal
30' Event
Italo
67'
Matheus Bahia

AI Match Summary

Guarani de Juazeiro in this Cearense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarani de Juazeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guarani de Juazeiro
20%
Draws
33%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crato lately — more wins on the board than Guarani de Juazeiro.
  • Model gives Guarani de Juazeiro a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 68%
Crato Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Juazeiro Crato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:2
Feb 18, 2014 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Crato
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Italo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Crato Compare

Top Goalscorer Rogerinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Juazeiro 46 / 100
Crato 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Juazeiro Crato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Crato has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Guarani de Juazeiro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Juazeiro VS Crato
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Juazeiro

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
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Crato

(Away)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)