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Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Cassio
(Penalty)
31' Event
Davi
43' Event
Tiaguinho

AI Match Summary

Icasa in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Icasa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Guarani de Juazeiro
30%
Draws
31%
Icasa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Icasa lately — more wins on the board than Guarani de Juazeiro.
  • Icasa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 16%
Icasa Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Juazeiro Icasa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa
1:5
Mar 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Cearense 2
Icasa vs Guarani de Juazeiro
0:0
Feb 18, 2024 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Icasa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Icasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Guimaraes
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tiaguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Juazeiro 19 / 100
Icasa 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Juazeiro Icasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Icasa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Icasa let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guarani de Juazeiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Juazeiro VS Icasa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Juazeiro

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

Icasa

(Away)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
30 May
Icasa
3 : 0
Crateus
24 May
Crateus
0 : 0
Icasa
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)