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Guarani de Juazeiro vs Pacajus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Santos R.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2024 game between Guarani de Juazeiro and Pacajus finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani de Juazeiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Guarani de Juazeiro
35%
Draws
15%
Pacajus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Pacajus haven't matched Guarani de Juazeiro's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guarani de Juazeiro a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pacajus have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 20%
Pacajus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Juazeiro Pacajus
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.06 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Pacajus
1:0
Mar 10, 2023 Cearense
Pacajus vs Guarani de Juazeiro
7:0
Feb 12, 2023 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Pacajus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Pacajus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Juazeiro 42 / 100
Pacajus 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Juazeiro Pacajus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Pacajus let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Guarani de Juazeiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Juazeiro VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Juazeiro

(Home)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Icasa
2 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
09 May
Guarani de Juazeiro
2 : 1
Barbalha
26 Apr
Guarani de Juazeiro
1 : 1
Crato
18 Apr
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Guarani de Juazeiro
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Pacajus

(Away)
31 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 2
Cariri FC
27 Mar
Itapipoca
3 : 2
Pacajus
24 Mar
Icasa
2 : 2
Pacajus
16 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 1
Tirol
10 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 1
Maranguape
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 2 1 12:6 17
2 Tirol 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
3 Itapipoca 8 4 4 0 11:6 16
4 Cariri FC 8 3 3 2 11:6 12
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
6 Tiradentes 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
7 Maranguape 8 1 4 3 5:9 7
8 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 2:12 5
9 Pacajus 8 0 5 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2024 (Play Offs)