Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani de Juazeiro vs Pacatuba

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Dudu Caririacu
71' Event
Jeferson
83'
Massilon

AI Match Summary

Guarani de Juazeiro host Pacatuba in the Cearense 2 2024. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Pacatuba have shipped 2.67 goals a game lately, while Guarani de Juazeiro have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Guarani de Juazeiro have won 1 to Pacatuba's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2025, ending 4:2. xG projections (1.90 - 1.40) back Guarani de Juazeiro to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guarani de Juazeiro
6%
Draws
4%
Pacatuba
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarani de Juazeiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarani de Juazeiro has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pacatuba.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Guarani de Juazeiro.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Cearense 2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 68%
Pacatuba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Juazeiro Pacatuba
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 9 2
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Cearense 2
Pacatuba vs Guarani de Juazeiro
4:2
Feb 16, 2025 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Pacatuba
0:0
Mar 26, 2024 Cearense 2
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Pacatuba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Caririacu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeferson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pacatuba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Juazeiro 95 / 100
Pacatuba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Juazeiro Pacatuba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Juazeiro scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Pacatuba let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Guarani de Juazeiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pacatuba lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Juazeiro VS Pacatuba
1.13 Goals Scored 1.17
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.67
50% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa852112:617
2Tirol851211:716
3Itapipoca844011:616
4Cariri FC833211:612
5Guarani de Juazeiro82338:89
6Tiradentes81436:97
7Maranguape81435:97
8Pacatuba81252:125
9Pacajus80538:115